🔗 Share this article

On Sunday, the Central African Republic will hold a crucial quadruple election, encompassing the presidential race, national assembly, and municipal offices.

A Crowded Race for the Presidency

A field of seven contenders are vying for the top office, among them ex-premiers Anicet Georges Dologuélé and Henri-Marie Dondra. Both men were cleared to stand by the constitutional court after initial bans. Dologuélé was the runner-up in the 2015 and 2020 votes, while Dondra briefly served under the current president.

Challengers' Strategy and Voter Frustrations

The opposition hopes to capitalize on widespread frustration in a country where conflict remains a constant threat. Over half a million people are internally displaced, with a similar number living as exiles in neighbouring countries.

"This represents an chance to acknowledge the significant progress of the country," noted a senior UN diplomat, adding that obstacles persist.

The Incumbent's Path

Despite the competition, President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, a former mathematics professor, is largely predicted to extend his run. He first entered politics in 2008 when named prime minister, holding the post until a rebel coalition toppled the government in 2013, sparking a civil war.

After a turbulent transition period, his reputation for neutrality from the main militias powered his second-round victory in 2016.

Security Concerns and Voting Challenges

Concerns persist that supply-chain issues and insecurity could mar the vote, especially in the countryside. The UN stabilization force, Minusca, is providing security and logistical support that the country's weak systems is unable to provide.

Additional problems include the voter list being published only online, a significant barrier in a nation with scarce online access. These irregularities have led to an opposition boycott and could, according to observers, "disenfranchise large segments of the population."

Stakes of a Third Term

Many citizens worry that another term for Touadéra—made possible by a 2023 constitutional referendum that abolished term limits and lengthened mandates—would entail greater influence for foreign actors.

The president has relied on the Russian mercenary group Wagner for his protection, and even after its founder's death, has resisted calls to integrate its fighters into a successor entity. Meanwhile, Rwanda has taken a separate strategy, focusing on business interests within CAR.

Allegations of Asset Sales

Recent reports have claimed the government evicted its own soldiers from a World Bank-funded facility to make way for a Rwandan agricultural project. A pro-opposition editorial charged the leadership of being "intent on sell off the country bit by bit."

Despite a newly signed agreement with rebel groups offering hope of stabilization, the election proceeds under a shadow of doubt and external competition.